图书简介
改革开放以来,中国流通业从传统产业、末端产业和落后产业,逐步发展为基础产业、先导产业和战略产业,对中国体制转型、经济增长、社会稳定和人民生活起着越来越大的积极作用。同时,中国流通业也开始成为外资进入最多的行业之一,当前仅次于制造业和房地产业。外资商业进入推动了中国流通业的发展,但也带来了不得不引起注意的流通安全问题。本书可能的创新:(1)构建中国流通产业安全的概念框架,特别地,通过历史文档考察指出中国流通业遵循的是一条自下而上“逆向型”开放路径,即地方政府率先开放,在与中央的讨价还价中以既成事实推动中国流通业的全面开放,从而为“中央对流通业开放过早、过快”观点提供了一个另类的注解;(2)以“序数安全度”取代“基数安全度”,即基于可加性指标测算中国流通产业安全的相对变化,而不限于一个具体的安全度数值,避免了经验度量中指标赋权和判别标准上的主观臆断问题,并且,在指标计算过程中针对外资商业地理布局非均衡性使用结构调整法、针对历史发展趋势使用趋势调整法,更加客观地反映了外资商业控制力和中国流通产业安全的真实情况;(3)测算结果显示中国流通产业安全在2006-2011年间呈加速恶化的态势,原因在于法律和政策规制不完善,以及外资商业总体实力增强、进入速度过快、地理布局不均衡等,但2008年全球金融危机之后中国民族商业实力相对增强,是未来可能扭转这一趋势的积极因素;(4)根据研究的理论逻辑和经验结果,借鉴国际经验,结合中国国情,针对中国流通产业安全提出具体的政策保障措施。
Since the reform and opening up, China's circulation industry has gradually developed from traditional industries, terminal industries and backward industries to basic industries, leading industries and strategic industries, playing an increasingly positive role in China's structural transformation, economic growth, social stability and people's livelihood. At the same time, China's circulation industry has also begun to become one of the industries with the largest foreign investment, currently second only to manufacturing and real estate. The entry of foreign businesses has promoted the development of China's circulation industry, but it has also brought about circulation safety issues that have to be paid attention to. Possible innovations in this book: (1) to construct a conceptual framework for the safety of China's circulation industry, in particular, through historical document investigation, it is pointed out that China's circulation industry follows a bottom-up "reverse" opening path, that is, local governments take the lead in opening up, and promote the full opening of China's circulation industry with fait accomplis in bargaining with the central government, thus providing an alternative annotation for the view that "the central government opened up the circulation industry too early and too quickly"; (2) Replace "base safety" with "ordinal safety", that is, measure the relative change of China's circulation industry safety based on additive indicators, rather than limited to a specific safety value, avoid the subjective assumption problems in index empowerment and judgment standards in empirical measurement, and use the structural adjustment method for the unbalanced geographical layout of foreign-funded businesses and the trend adjustment method for historical development trends in the calculation of indicators, which more objectively reflects the real situation of foreign commercial control and the security of China's circulation industry; (3) The calculation results show that the security of China's circulation industry showed an accelerated deterioration trend from 2006 to 2011, due to imperfect laws and policy regulations, as well as the overall strength of foreign business, the rapid entry speed, and the uneven geographical layout, etc., but the relative increase in China's national commercial strength after the 2008 global financial crisis is a positive factor that may reverse this trend in the future; (4) According to the theoretical logic and empirical results of the research, drawing on international experience and combining China's national conditions, put forward specific policy safeguard measures for the safety of China's circulation industry.(AI翻译)
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